Tuesday, December 7, 2010
No Change to Prime Rate
Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 per cent OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent. The global economic recovery is proceeding largely as expected, although risks have increased. As anticipated, private domestic demand in the United States is picking up slowly, while growth in emerging-market economies has begun to ease to a more sustainable, but still robust, pace. In Europe, recent data have been consistent with a modest recovery. At the same time, there is an increased risk that sovereign debt concerns in several countries could trigger renewed strains in global financial markets. The recovery in Canada is proceeding at a moderate pace, although economic activity in the second half of 2010 appears slightly weaker than the Bank projected in its October Monetary Policy Report. In the third quarter, household spending was stronger than the Bank had anticipated and growth in business investment was robust. However, net exports were weaker than projected and continued to exert a significant drag on growth. This underlines a previously-identified risk that a combination of disappointing productivity performance and persistent strength in the Canadian dollar could dampen the expected recovery of net exports. Inflation dynamics in Canada have been broadly in line with the Bank's expectations and the underlying pressures affecting prices remain largely unchanged. Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. This leaves considerable monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. Any further reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered. Information note:The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 18 January 2011. Copyright 2010 TMG The Mortgage Group Canada Inc. All rights reserved.
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Prime Rate up 0.25% to 2.50%
OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is raising its target for the overnight
rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly
raised to 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is kept at 1/4 per cent, thus re-establishing the normal
operating band of 50 basis points for the overnight rate.
The global economic recovery is proceeding but is increasingly uneven across countries, with
strong momentum in emerging market economies, some consolidation of the recovery in the
United States, Japan and other industrialized economies, and the possibility of renewed weakness
in Europe. The required rebalancing of global growth has not yet materialized.
In most advanced economies, the recovery remains heavily dependent on monetary and fiscal
stimulus. In general, broad forces of household, bank, and sovereign deleveraging will add to the
variability, and temper the pace, of global growth. Recent tensions in Europe are likely to result
in higher borrowing costs and more rapid tightening of fiscal policy in some countries - an
important downside risk identified in the April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Thus far, the
spillover into Canada from events in Europe has been limited to a modest fall in commodity
prices and some tightening of financial conditions.
Activity in Canada is unfolding largely as expected. The economy grew by a robust 6.1 per cent
in the first quarter, led by housing and consumer spending. Employment growth has resumed.
Going forward, household spending is expected to decelerate to a pace more consistent with
income growth. The anticipated pickup in business investment will be important for a more
balanced recovery.
CPI inflation has been in line with the Bank's April projections. The outlook for inflation reflects
the combined influences of strong domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess
supply.
In this context, the Bank has decided to raise the target for the overnight rate to 1/2 per cent and
to re-establish the normal functioning of the overnight market. This decision still leaves considerable
monetary stimulus in place, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target in light of the
significant excess supply in Canada, the strength of domestic spending, and the uneven global recovery.
Given the considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook, any further reduction of monetary
stimulus would have to be weighed carefully against domestic and global economic
developments.
Information note:
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 July 2010. A full update
of the Bank's outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be
published in the MPR on 22 July 2010.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Should I lock in?
While most of us have gotten used to incredibly low interest rates, this isn't the norm. Prime rate has been at 2.25% for the last 11 months so when we hear that it will rise, we generally panic. However, you need to ask yourself "are you comfortable in your current financial situation to sustain an increase in prime back to where it normally is?" If prime rate has averaged roughly 4.81% over the last 5 years, and you have a built in discount of say, prime minus 0.6% - that means your rate would be 4.2% on average. Translated into a monthly payment via any mortgage calculator on the web and see if you are comfortable with that figure. This is roughly what your payments would have started out at back in 2007 if we use the above example. If something has changed in your life and you are no longer comfortable with that figure or you feel more secure in a fixed rate, you may want to lock in.
Leah
ARTICLE from Canadian Mortgage Trends:
With people banking on the main interest rate going up in June, it seems like a good time to for homeowners to lock in their fixed-rate mortgages.
About 12 percent of mortgage holders with fixed-rate mortgages "locked in," or switched from variable rate mortgages, in the past year, , according to a report this month by Will Dunning, chief economist at the CAAMP , and another 10 percent had already switched from variable more than a year ago.
The rate for conventional five-year mortgages was at 6.25 per cent at the end of April, nearing the 5.25 per cent rate at the end of May last year - the lowest since 1973 when the Bank of Canada data began.
"As interest rates rise, expect home buyers to increasingly opt for fixed-rate loans, in turn leaving banks with more fixed-rate assets to hedge in the swap market" said Mohammed Ahmed, a rates strategist at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce in Toronto.
Housing starts rose to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 201,700 units last month.
Thursday, May 6, 2010
Spring Fever Newsletter
There have been a multitude of changes over the last several weeks which have come into effect and may affect you in an upcoming purchase. To fully clarify exactly what these changes are, I'll devote this newsletter to explaining the latest changes and how they may affect you.
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Higher Interest Rate Used to Qualify Clients | |
*These rules affect Hi-Ratio Mortgage Holders (ie: those with less than 20% down payment) Old Rules: Previously, if you signed on for a 3 year fixed rate term at 3.65%, I would have qualified you for the mortgage AT 3.65%. The only difference would have been a variable mortgage; those mortgages have always been qualified on higher rates to protect you again future rate increase and most commonly the 3 year POSTED bank rate would have been used to qualify you. New Rules: In order to eliminate a surplus of clients in the next several years who are no longer able to afford their houses as their renewal rate in 3 years is much higher, the new rule is that all clients are qualified on the "benchmark qualifying rate" unless you are signing on for a 5 year or greater fixed rate term, in which case you are qualified at that rate. For fixed rate mortgages with terms of less than 5 years as well as all variable mortgages, you are qualified based on the benchmark qualifying rate. What is the 'qualifying benchmark rate?' As of today, the rate is 6.10%. CMHC defines the benchmark rate as the Chartered Bank - Conventional Mortgage 5-year rate that is the most recent interest rate published by the Bank of Canada in the series "V121764" each Monday. Refer to the official link for the most up to date rate information. Leah's BOTTOM LINE: Based on a higher qualifying interest rate, borrowers will need approximately 25% more income in order to qualify for the same home compared to the old rules. |
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Rental Properties | |
Old Rules: Able to purchase a rental property with 5% down payment. As of April 19th, CMHC will also be implementing changes to the calculation of a borrower's Total Debt Service Ratio where rental income is generated from the subject property. 50% percent of the gross rental income from the subject property may be included into the borrower's gross annual income for the purposes of calculating the borrower's Total Debt Service Ratio.New Rules: Requires 20% down payment for rental properties. Leah's BOTTOM LINE: This is a more complex matter to explain, so I invite you to contact me directly to review your situation or alternatively, please read the CMHC link for more specific information. |
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Re-financing Your Home | |
Old Rules: Previously able to re-finance up to 95% of the value of your home. New Rules: May only re-finance up to 90% of the value of your home. Leah's BOTTOM LINE: This will keep an additional 5% worth of equity in the home than before. |
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Bank of Canada warns higher rates ahead
The Canadian dollar rose sharply Tuesday as the Bank of Canada warned that it will be raising interest rates.
At midday, the dollar was up 1.63 cents to 100.17 cents US.
The Bank of Canada kept its key lending rate unchanged Tuesday, but warned that its low-rate policy has a limited future.
The bank held the overnight rate at 0.25 per cent, as economists had expected.
But with the economy recovering and inflation running above the bank's two per cent target, the need for rock-bottom lending rates "is now passing," it said in a statement.
The extent and timing of any change in the key rate "will depend on the outlook for economic activity and inflation," the bank said. The bank also noted growth is "proceeding somewhat more rapidly" than it expected earlier this year, increasing the chance of a rate rise in the early summer.
"Simply put, this statement marks a dramatic change in tone by the bank, and doesn't rule out possible 50 basis point moves," said Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist with BMO Capital Markets, in a commentary.
Porter predicted a June rate hike is now "likely," adding that the central bank is clearly much more concerned about inflation than previously indicated.
The bank sets a target level for the overnight rate, which is often called the key interest rate or key policy rate because it indicates the bank's thinking about the economy.
The overnight rate is the interest rate major financial institutions charge each other for one-day loans.
The rate has been at a very low 0.25 per cent since April 2009, when it was cut from 0.50 per cent as the recession worsened. It was at a recent peak of 4.5 per cent in October 2007.
The bank's "extraordinary policy" of ultra-low rates was introduced to boost the recovery, the statement said.
The bank is forecasting growth of 3.7 per cent this year, reflecting stronger global activity, strong housing activity in Canada and the bank's conclusion that policy stimulus advanced some spending into late 2009 and early 2010.
It's forecasting that Canadian economic growth will slow to 3.1 per cent in 2011 and 1.9 per cent in 2012.
Competing pressures
Bank governor Mark Carney is juggling competing pressures: the need to control inflation with a higher rate; the need to keep the cost of loans low to encourage business and consumer borrowing; and the strong dollar.
A bank rate increase could push the dollar even higher, hurting exports and jobs. While recognizing that growth is strong, the bank warned Tuesday about economic negatives: "the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar, Canada's poor relative productivity performance and the low absolute level of U.S. demand."
Although Carney expressed concern about inflation in March, the bank said it is expecting the rate to ease slightly in the second quarter, and remain slightly above the target two per cent rate this year before easing in the second half of 2011.
With files from The Canadian Press
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Overnight Interest Rate to Remain Low - For Now
Group urges BoC to keep rate promise - for now
The Bank of Canada should keep the overnight interest rate as is in April, but aim for a target interest rate of 1.25 per cent by October and 2.50 per cent by April 2011, the C.D. Howe Institute's Monetary Policy Council recommended.
Nine of the ten members of the Council - which provides an independent assessment of the Bank of Canada's strategy to reach a two per cent inflation target - recommended the Bank keep the key interest rate at 0.25 per cent for the time being.
But for the next announcement in June, the council was split on how the central bank should proceed. Six recommended the rate still be held at 0.25 per cent, while the four remaining members were split between wanting a 0.5 per cent and 0.75 per cent target rate. The Council's formal recommendations to the Bank of Canada are based on the group's median votes on rate changes.
In a report, the Council said members who favoured the Bank stay with its commitment tended to "highlight the role of emergency stimulus and inventory swings in recent growth numbers" while noting that the disappearance of one-time factors affecting prices will cause year-over-year inflation to moderate.
In contrast, members who wanted the Bank to raise the policy rate sooner and more steadily said domestic demand and inflation are running ahead of what was expected when the Bank's commitment to keep rates low was made, adding the yield curve and money growth rates are "consistent with continued expansion."
"In general, the strongest sentiment was that credibility in controlling inflation should be the Bank of Canada's paramount consideration," the report said. "There was strong sentiment in favour of the Bank's signaling clearly that monetary policy is likely to become much less accommodative as it exits its emergency stance."
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Increase of 0.6% for 5 year fixed rates
Banks start interest rate shake-up
Four big banks have increased their posted rates on fixed mortgages, signaling the start of an upward move on record-low interest rates.
Royal Bank, TD Canada Trust and Laurentian all moved their posted rates on five-year fixed mortgages by 0.6 per cent yesterday, a move followed by CIBC today. Many non-banks have already followed, prompting a surge in requests from variable-rate clients to lock into fixed rates.
"The phones have been ringing off the hook since yesterday," said Donna Ramsay, a Mortgage Architects broker based in Orangeville, Ont. "We have several clients that we have committed to calling to see if they want to lock into a fixed. We tell them that we're not here to tell them what to do -- we'll give them the facts."
The interest rate increase will also mean higher qualifying criteria for new clients, who must meet the five-year posted fixed rate when the new mortgage insurance rules kick in on April 19.
CIBC economist Benjamin Tal told the Globe and Mail the rise in rates along with other factors means the booming housing market will slow down significantly after spring.
"Given where interest rates are now, I still think you'll see an extremely strong spring. However, after that I think the housing market will stagnate," Mr. Tal said. "We are in the ninth inning of this booming house market. We are not expecting a crash, but we will stagnate."
Monday, March 29, 2010
Interest Rates Set to Rise
If you are considering purchasing in the near future, it would be wise to secure a rate hold before all of the lenders have followed suit. Generally rate holds last anywhere from 90-120 days and as long as the client takes possession of the new home within that time frame, the original, low rate hold is honored.
Thursday, March 18, 2010
Relief in sight?
Consumer complaints about mortgage penalties pile up
The Bank of Canada's record-low interest rates have been in place for almost a year and during that time, consumer complaints about mortgage prepayment penalties have been steadily rising.
A story in the Globe and Mail says the Ombudsman for Banking Services and Investments (OBSI) has opened 301 new consumer complaints in the quarter that ended in January, which is twice the number seen in the same quarter last year and almost triple the number seen in 2008.
Hein Moes, an Invis broker in Victoria, says lenders will not bend on interest rate differential (IRD) penalties when interest rates are so low, causing many clients to opt out of refinancing for a better rate.
"I don't know when we're going to see some release in that department," said Moes. "If you can't save your penalty before the original maturity date of the mortgage, then you really have to have a hard look at whether you want to do it or not. And even if you take the best discounted deal with the same lender, they're going to want to see compensation from that."
In the latest federal budget, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said he will standardize how prepayment penalties are calculated and disclosed to consumers, but details have not yet been revealed.
Douglas Melville, the head of the OBSI, told the Globe in most cases the lender's disclosure is clear, but there are some instances when the customer's argument has legs.
"At the moment, we have about a dozen case files still open where some form of compensation is likely to result," Melville said. "We believe compensation is warranted due to a lack of clear disclosure by the firm of the prepayment penalty calculation."
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
Bank Maintains Overnight Rate
Bank Maintains Overnight Rate - March 2, 2010 |
Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1/4 per cent and reiterates conditional commitment to hold current policy rate until the end of the second quarter of 2010
OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/4 per cent. The Bank Rate is unchanged at 1/2 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.
The ongoing global economic recovery is being driven largely by strong domestic demand growth in many emerging-market economies and supported in advanced economies by exceptional monetary and fiscal stimulus, as well as extraordinary measures taken to support financial systems.
The level of economic activity in Canada has been slightly higher than the Bank had projected in its January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). The economy grew at an annual rate of 5 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009, spurred by vigorous domestic spending and further recovery in exports. The underlying factors supporting Canada's recovery are largely unchanged - policy stimulus, increased confidence, improved financial conditions, global growth, and higher terms of trade. At the same time, the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar and the low absolute level of U.S. demand continue to act as significant drags on economic activity in Canada.
Core inflation has been slightly firmer than projected, the result of both transitory factors and the higher level of economic activity. The outlook for inflation should continue to reflect the combined influences of stronger domestic demand, slowing wage growth, and overall excess supply.
Conditional on the current outlook for inflation, the target overnight rate can be expected to remain at its current level until the end of the second quarter of 2010 in order to achieve the inflation target.
The risks to the outlook for inflation continue to be those outlined in the January MPR. On the upside, the main risks are stronger-than-projected global and domestic demand. On the downside, the main risks are a more protracted global recovery and persistent strength of the Canadian dollar. The Bank judges that the main macroeconomic risks to the inflation projection are roughly balanced.
The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 20 April 2010.
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
3 Major Changes to Mortgage Lending
1. Borrowers must meet the standards for a 5 year fixed rate mortgage even if they are choosing to sign onto a mortgage with a shorter term and lower rate.
2. When re-financing your home, you may only take out up to 90% of the equity instead of 95%.
3. A minimum down payment of 20% required for non-owner occupied properties.
Surprisingly to some, there were actually no changes to the minimum down payment as was previously hinted at. The current minimum down payment remains at 5%. The maximum amortization has remained at 35 years, also with no change.
Breaking News: New Changes to Mortgage Lending
Tougher mortgage rules to cut down default risks
16/02/2010 10:52:18 AM
CTV.ca News StaffOttawa has tightened the rules for obtaining a government-backed mortgage, as it casts an eye towards expected future interest rate increases and the risks those pose for Canadian homeowners.
Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced Tuesday morning that prospective homeowners will soon have to meet the requirements for a five-year, fixed rate mortgage -- as opposed to the three-year standard in place right now. The rule will apply even if they choose a mortgage with a lower interest rate and shorter term.
Flaherty told reporters gathered at an Ottawa news conference that the change will "help Canadians prepare for higher interest rates in the future."
"One must always guard against the temptation to take on more financial risk simply because interest rates are low. Our government is acting to help prevent Canadian households from getting overextended and acting to help prevent some lenders from facilitating it," he said.
Flaherty also announced Ottawa will also limit the amount of mortgage refinancing that homeowners can undertake.
"We will lower the maximum amount Canadians can withdraw in refinancing their mortgages to 90 per cent from 95 per cent of the value of their homes," he said.
"This will discourage the kind of mortgage refinancing that can create unsustainable debt levels as interest rates go up," he added.
"We are encouraging people to build equity over time, using homeownership as an effective way to save, rather than as a vehicle for quick cash."
The finance minister also announced that housing speculators will now have to put down a 20 per cent down payment on properties they will not be living in, to qualify for a government-backed mortgage.
But he said the government is not trying to crack down on investment properties such as rental units.
"What we're getting at is the speculation in multiple-condo markets, in particular," he said, making reference to incidents in the Vancouver and Toronto markets as examples.
Preventative measures
Flaherty said the changes, which are expected to come into force on April 19, were necessary to prevent future problems and he insisted they would not make it harder for Canadians to buy houses.
"The only restriction would be qualifying at a five-year, fixed-term basis, which is a credit qualification that a number of our chartered banks have already gone to," Flaherty said.
"I think that most prudent Canadians would want to have that level of ‘credit-worthiness,' of credit qualification, so that they could rest assured that their house would remain affordable -- and the mortgage remain affordable -- when interest rates rise, as they inevitably will."
Pointing to mortgage changes the Conservative government instituted two years ago -- including a minimum five per cent down payment for new mortgages and a maximum 35-year amortization period -- Flaherty said they also helped Canadians avert the kind of housing crisis seen in the United States in the current recession.
Economists had previously called for the minister to be stricter about who can get new mortgages, but warned the government not to put on the brakes to strongly, in order to preserve the fragile economic recovery. On Tuesday, several said they favoured the new rules brought forward by the government.
"Given the prospect of higher interest rates and the recent run-up in housing prices in some markets across Canada, the measures announced today are prudent," Frank Techar, president, personal and commercial banking, BMO Bank of Montreal said in a statement.
Carleton University professor Ian Lee said he supported the changes, but said he would also like to see the required mortgage housing down payment doubled from five to 10 per cent.
"In my judgment, the most important predictor of risk in home ownership is the amount of down payment," Lee told CTV News Channel from Ottawa on Tuesday morning.
Lee said he was hoping the finance minister would increase the required down payment "to really take out that additional risk that is there, which is caused by the fact that interest rates are going to go up."
"And when they go up, some of these people will not be able to keep their house, because they will not be able to afford the payments," he said.
BNN's Michael Kane said Flaherty's position is that while there may not be a housing bubble immediately on the horizon, he wants to be proactive in preventing one from forming.
"What Mr. Flaherty is saying here, is that even though he doesn't see the bubble really forming at all, to put certain measures in place so one does not get the chance to build is the prudent thing to do," Kane said Tuesday morning from Toronto.
Overall, Flaherty said the Canadian housing market is "healthy and stable," with about two-thirds of Canadians owning their own homes.
"Our housing market… has been a source of strength for our country and a source of growing wealth for hardworking Canadians themselves," Flaherty said.
With files from The Canadian Press
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Speaking out against tighter lending requirements
After providing several comments on the potential housing bubble in Canada, ING Direct Canada president Peter Aceto told the Globe and Mail that Ottawa shouldn't tighten mortgage rules.
"High level, one-stroke fixes are too simple, and can have a very large impact," Aceto told the newspaper. "I worry about government-based tightening of the mortgage rules creating a much worse reaction - too fast of a cooling, which is not really good for anyone."
Aceto went on to say that banks can tighten rules themselves and do not need Finance Minister Jim Flaherty to "make the decision for them."
The comments come alongside a warning from Scotia Capital economists Derek Holt and Karen Cordes, who predicted a housing bubble forming in a report released late last year.
"You can't go from 100 km/h to zero in a nanosecond without suffering harsh consequences," they wrote, according to the Globe. "Newton's third law is the best caution that can be served up with respect to abruptly altering Canadian mortgage rules as per some of the whisper talk leading up to the March 4 federal budget after the currently government sharply liberalized the mortgage market in early 2007."
Monday, February 8, 2010
Will 10% down payment be the new minimum requirement?
Several people have mentioned the reference to increasing the minimum 5% down payment to 10% while also discussing a decrease in amortization. The last major change with this regard was in October of 2008 when 40 year amortization alongside zero percent down payments were removed. At present time, a client may qualify for a 35 year amortization with a 5% down payment, which in this market, is a very decent sized down payment. Since the infamous "boom" in the Calgary housing market, 5% is no longer what it used to be. On a 300K house this is a 15K down payment which is a significant amount of money. Certainly many people would be forced out of the possibility of home ownership should the minimum requirement be moved up to 10%.
At present time this is strictly a rumor but I will post the link with supplemental information on this topic.
Flaherty has no plans to tighten mortgage rules: Globe and Mail
Following a report in Saturday's Globe and Mail that banking officials have called for tighter mortgage rules to stave off a housing collapse, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty told reporters he does not see signs of a housing bubble in Canada.
According to the paper, Flaherty made the comments following the weekend's finance summit. Although he said there were some "signals in the market that are concerning," he added there is no "compelling evidence" of a housing bubble. He did, however, remind the Globe and Mail that he has policy tools available to "take action to counter negative trends."
"I have used some of them before and can use some or all of them again," Flaherty said, making reference to the government's decision to disallow zero-down mortgages and 40-year amortizations in 2008.
The discussion of tightening mortgage rules surfaced in December when Flaherty mentioned the possibility of increasing down payment and amortization periods to cool off the housing market. The Globe said the Department of Finance has canvassed the mortgage industry for ideas on whether tighter mortgage rules are needed.
CAAMP's Jim Murphy told the newspaper that it would have "serious concerns" with ten per cent down payments, while Canadian Mortgage Trends' Robert McLister said the CMHC has already "increased its vigilance" on mortgage insurance approvals.